The bridge to where you want to go 

Energy Risk Solutions, LLC ("ERS")                                     

Despite the growing emphasis on wind and solar energy as necessary components to our national mandate for renewable energy independence, alternative energy project developers are still encountering significant challenges in securing the necessary financing for their projects. Business enterprises engaging in the alternative energy market face complex risks, creating a growing misalignment between existing products designed to address risks and the risk solutions needs of organizers


The consequence of this misalignment is an inability to attract capital while narrowing the universe of potential transaction participants (e.g. debt and equity providers), thus driving the cost of capital higher and limiting its availability. Without viable mitigation alternatives, covering risks such as electricity price volatility and irradiation volatility, projects have been primarily relegated to utilizing 100% equity, or forgo the project entirely. ERS and its affiliated firms can assist clients in alternative energy risk related areas by providing hedges (e.g. insurance) that protects against:

  • Unpredictability of the amount of:
    •  solar irradiance at a particular location (Insolation Volatility);
    •  wind variability at a particular location (Wind Speed); and
  • Fluctuations in the future price of electricity and renewable energy credits. 


Complex Risk and Hedge Example 


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Electricity to Sell (Price Volatility Hedge) 

                                                                                                                                              /

 Sun Shines                +          Functional Solar Panels = Electricity Generated   =

       |                                                                                                                                      \

(Insolation Volatility Hedge                                                                                         SRECS to Sell (Price Volatility Hedge) 

  


These hedges can be used to protect a project's other stakeholders such as counterparties entering into forward electricity purchase contracts as well as investors. The benefits of this risk solution include stakeholder concerns regarding shortfalls in projected energy output and disruptions in projected cash flows due to uncertain energy inputs (such as sun shine). Such solutions can result in:  

  • Improved financial leverage/increased loan to value ratios;  
  • Reduced debt service coverage ratios;  
  • Lower overall project capital costs;   
  • Improved forward sell agreements; and  
  • More predictable investor returns.  

Wind Hedge

A wind hedge protects against the unpredictability of the amount of wind variability at a particular location
(i.e. wind speed), thus providing a form of guarantee that the wind will blow. A wind input hedge can compensate for a wind farm’s output during periods which there are unexpected wind speeds (i.e. too low or too high).

Solar Hedge
A solar hedge protects against the unpredictability of solar irradiance at a particular location (i.e. insolation volatility), thus providing a form of guarantee that the sun will shine. A solar input hedge can compensate for a solar panel array's output during periods where there is unexpectedly little or no sun light.

Energy Credits and Certificates Price Hedge
Project developers and others involved in the alternative energy market have indicated the need for long term price stability in the markets for renewable energy credits (RECs) and solar renewable energy certificates (SRECs).  Besides helping clients interface with the REC trading markets, ERS can help clients with a customized solution that locks in the future price received by developers for RECs and SRECs generated, thereby providing a hedge protecting against future price fluctuations in those markets.

Electricity Price Hedge
Project developers have indicated the need for long term price stability for the future price of electricity in markets such as Texas and Oklahoma. ERS helps clients by offering a customized solution that locks in the future price for electricity, thus providing a hedge against future electricity price fluctuations.

An example of a simplified structure of an Electricity Price Hedge for a large wind farm in the Midwest follows:
  • The claim payments were structured quarterly;
  • The duration of the transaction was 5 years;
  • The price of the electricity was locked for the duration of the transaction; and
  • The risk‐taking counterparty was an A rated insurance carrier.
Costs
To be successful, the cost of the hedge needs to be lower than the economic benefit created. For example,
the cost of the hedge would need to be lower than the differential in the cost of capital (i.e. cost of capital without transferring the risk, compared to the cost of capital with the risk transferred). In general, the hedge cost is about 2/3 of the economic benefit (i.e. 1/3 of the economic benefit captured by the client).


Among the many other ways that ERS can assist clients in alternative energy risk related areas are:

 

Outsourced risk management

Many mid-size and smaller alternative energy project developers do not have sufficient in house risk management resources. ERS can function as the client’s risk management team by identifying and evaluating risks and interfacing with debt providers and other stakeholders to explain risks and the associated risk solutions.  ERS can also work with traditional insurance brokers and assist the client in procuring well-tailored and cost-efficient insurance coverage.

 

Obtaining explicit economic capital benefit

The benefits associated with a customized risk program can result in increasing the pool of possible lenders and investors interested in providing capital to solar projects (and potentially reducing the cost of capital). ERS is able to explain the financial benefits associated with risk solutions utilized by a project and potentially help clients to locate and negotiate lower cost capital.  

 

Enabling projects to be financed and lowering the cost of capital associated with their financing

The use of a renewable energy hedges and other potential risk solutions enables a loan to be viewed in a more main stream context; e.g., a lender (or other investor) does not need to have in-house energy expertise in order to be able to get sufficiently comfortable making a loan or an investment. They only need to invest the time to understand the financial consequence of the hedge(s).

 

ERS is constantly seeking a number of alliances with project finance parties.  While ERS is aware of entities that will finance larger projects (i.e. requiring a minimum $50 million), it has recently been cultivating relationships with entities that have interest in financing smaller projects.  ERS is currently in discussions with smaller banks and other finance related entities that have indicated that they possess the ability to provide project financing (assuming sufficient risk hedging is utilized) at a cost of 6.5% to 13%.


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